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Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction: Can the Gunners Tighten Their Grip on the Top Four After the Derby?

Allan Damba by Allan Damba
13/03/2025
in Predictions
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Tosin Adarabioyo

Photo Credit: Chelsea FC Official Website

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Following their progress to the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League after taming PSV Eindhoven in midweek, Arsenal will be back at home at the Emirates Stadium, this time in the Premier League, against London rivals Chelsea on Sunday, March 16, 2025. Africa Football editor Allan Damba looks into the upcoming clash. 

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Match Overview

Mikel Arteta’s team has all but dropped out of the title race, as they sit second with 55 points, 15 behind leaders Liverpool with 10 matches left in the season. However, they still have the task of solidifying their grip on a top-four finish.

Meanwhile, Chelsea are also in the race for a top-four spot, which would guarantee them a place in the Champions League next season. Currently, Enzo Maresca’s team sits fourth with 49 points after 28 matches.

Last time out in the Premier League, Arsenal were held to a 1-1 stalemate by a struggling Manchester United, with Declan Rice salvaging them a point. On the other hand, Chelsea secured a narrow 1-0 victory over relegation-threatened Leicester City, courtesy of a solitary Reece James goal.

Arsenal Recent Form Analysis

Arsenal have struggled in recent games, managing just one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. The Gunners have scored 10 goals while conceding five in that time.

Last Five Games: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss.
Latest Result: Arsenal 2-2 PSV.

Chelsea Recent Form Analysis

Chelsea have won three games on the bounce but have also suffered two defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. During this period, the Blues have scored eight goals while conceding six.

Last Five Games: 3 wins, 2 losses.
Latest Result: Chelsea 1-0 Leicester City.

Head-to-Head (Last Five Games)

  • Arsenal 1-1 Chelsea
  • Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea
  • Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal
  • Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea
  • Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal


Our Prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arsenal rarely suffer defeats at the Emirates Stadium, and Chelsea haven’t had much success there in recent years. However, the Blues will undoubtedly put up a fight as they continue their push for a top-four finish.

Punters should stake on a Double Chance 1X with odds of 1.23 on 1xBet. They can also bet on Both Teams to Score (YES) with odds of 1.77 on 1xBet.

Player to Watch

Tosin Adarabioyo – The English defender of Nigerian descent has established himself as a key figure in Chelsea’s defense, starting each of the last four matches and completing 90 minutes in three. Overall, he has made 27 appearances this season and will be looking to make an impact against Arsenal.

Best Odds and Betting Tips

We’ve identified the following as the best tips for this match:

  • Home Win with odds of 1.44 on 1xBet.
  • Over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.78 on 1xBet.
Tags: English Premier League
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Allan Damba

Allan Damba

I can humbly boast a methodical, reader-focused and flexible approach to storytelling for both short and long-form content on sports, especially football. Throughout my career I have worked with some of the leading sports websites in Uganda and Africa.

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